Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.087004 0.096833 0.106917 0.118010 0.129842 0.142061 0.155606
2025-02-09 0.070074 0.084676 0.100441 0.118602 0.138825 0.160536 0.185489
2025-02-16 0.057100 0.074432 0.094021 0.117501 0.144587 0.174577 0.210014
2025-02-23 0.051314 0.071212 0.094548 0.123396 0.157569 0.196267 0.242908
2025-03-02 0.046409 0.068216 0.094656 0.128229 0.168909 0.215844 0.273327
2025-03-09 0.039239 0.061475 0.089428 0.125943 0.171222 0.224456 0.290699
2025-03-16 0.032830 0.054945 0.083786 0.122521 0.171632 0.230396 0.304600
2025-03-23 0.030395 0.053479 0.084413 0.126803 0.181397 0.247528 0.331877
2025-03-30 0.027704 0.051333 0.083889 0.129402 0.188922 0.261878 0.355828
2025-04-06 0.025777 0.050078 0.084403 0.133239 0.197958 0.278088 0.382117
2025-04-13 0.022901 0.047079 0.082246 0.133300 0.201977 0.287971 0.400616
2025-04-20 0.022593 0.048038 0.085690 0.140989 0.216013 0.310550 0.435006
2025-04-27 0.020248 0.045633 0.084312 0.142232 0.221921 0.323378 0.458029
2025-05-04 0.018455 0.043981 0.083959 0.144902 0.229819 0.338936 0.484795
2025-05-11 0.016074 0.041029 0.081431 0.144326 0.233255 0.348741 0.504374
2025-05-18 0.015616 0.041473 0.084131 0.151316 0.247079 0.372154 0.541449
2025-05-25 0.014908 0.041360 0.085901 0.156932 0.259041 0.393210 0.575650
2025-06-01 0.012685 0.038039 0.082278 0.154343 0.259434 0.398915 0.590022
2025-06-08 0.010509 0.034458 0.077943 0.150433 0.257770 0.401746 0.600579
2025-06-15 0.010005 0.034331 0.079385 0.155341 0.268637 0.421372 0.633092
2025-06-22 0.009242 0.033531 0.079602 0.158316 0.276739 0.437326 0.660896
2025-06-29 0.008744 0.033268 0.080725 0.162701 0.286902 0.456125 0.692546
2025-07-06 0.007704 0.031566 0.079171 0.162771 0.290755 0.466358 0.712953